Table 3

Estimated change in prevalence/100 000 per degree of latitude at increments of latitude

LatitudePrevalence estimates with age-specific data
All crudeCrudeAge-standardised
Slope (95% CI)*Slope (95% CI)*Slope (95% CI)*
00.18 (0.13 to 0.22)
50.25 (0.20 to 0.31)0.47 (0.33 to 0.62)0.51 (0.36 to 0.67)
100.36 (0.29 to 0.43)0.60 (0.44 to 0.77)0.66 (0.47 to 0.84)
150.51 (0.43 to 0.60)0.77 (0.57 to 0.98)0.84 (0.62 to 1.06)
200.73 (0.62 to 0.85)0.99 (0.74 to 1.24)1.07 (0.80 to 1.35)
251.04 (0.89 to 1.20)1.27 (0.95 to 1.60)1.37 (1.01 to 1.73)
301.49 (1.26 to 1.71)1.63 (1.20 to 2.07)1.75 (1.27 to 2.23)
352.12 (1.78 to 2.46)2.09 (1.48 to 2.70)2.24 (1.57 to 2.90)
403.02 (2.48 to 3.56)2.68 (1.82 to 3.54)2.86 (1.92 to 3.80)
454.31 (3.44 to 5.18)3.43 (2.21 to 4.65)3.66 (2.33 to 4.99)
506.14 (4.73 to 7.55)4.40 (2.66 to 6.14)4.67 (2.78 to 6.56)
559.61 (7.08 to 12.14)6.13 (3.45 to 8.81)6.51 (3.60 to 9.42)
60−3.17 (−6.40 to 0.05)−0.94 (−2.82 to 0.94)−1.15 (−3.42 to 1.13)
65−12.09 (−15.75 to −8.44)−7.25 (−10.90 to −3.60)−7.87 (−12.07 to −3.66)
70−9.25 (−11.59 to −6.92)−8.34 (−11.21 to −5.47)−8.90 (−12.01 to −5.80)
  • * Slope (95% CI)=change in prevalence/100 000 per degree of latitude at the specified latitude (95% CI).

  • Statistically significant (p<0.001).

  • All analyses were adjusted for prevalence year, use of systematic diagnostic criteria and inclusion of possible cases. Values at 0 latitude were not calculated for crude and age-standardised prevalence with age-specific data, as there was no prevalence at this latitude with age-specific data.