Table 2

Cox regression models to predict vascular events or total mortality

Vascular eventsTotal mortality
Model 1Model 2Model 3Model 4Model 1Model 2Model 3Model 4
HRp ValueHRp ValueHRp ValueHRp ValueHRp ValueHRp ValueHRp ValueHRp Value
(A) Improvement in prediction by adding ESRS, SPI-2 or NIH-SS scores to a Cox regression model based on lg(hsTropT)
lg(hsTropT)3.48<0.0012.920.0022.750.0033.150.0015.40<0.0014.130.0014.08<0.0014.85<0.001
ESRS1.190.141.270.121
SPI-21.170.0391.220.053
NIH-SS1.050.3211.140.019
Δ(−2* log(L))NA2.104.110.89NA2.333.624.46
p For model improvementNA0.1470.0430.345NA0.1270.0570.035
Vascular eventsTotal mortality
Model 1Model 2Model 3Model 1Model 2Model 3
HRp ValueHRp ValueHRp ValueHRp ValueHRp ValueHRp Value
(B) Improvement in prediction by adding lg(hsTropT) to individual Cox regression models based on ESRS, SPI-2 or NIH-SS scores
ESRS1.360.0091.530.004
SPI-21.270.0011.350.002
NIH-SS1.090.0781.180.001
Score1.190.1401.170.0391.050.3211.270.1211.220.0531.140.019
lg(hsTropT)2.920.0022.750.0013.15<0.0014.130.0014.080.0014.85<0.001
Δ(−2*log(L))9.358.1110.210.19.9211.9
p For model improvement0.0020.0040.0010.0010.0020.001
  • HRs are given per unit increase in the respective variable.

  • ESRS, Essen Stroke Risk Score; hsTropT, high-sensitivity troponin T; NIH-SS, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale; SPI-2, Stroke Prognosis Instrument 2.