RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Serum neurofilament as a predictor of 10-year grey matter atrophy and clinical disability in multiple sclerosis: a longitudinal study JF Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry JO J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry FD BMJ Publishing Group Ltd SP 849 OP 857 DO 10.1136/jnnp-2021-328568 VO 93 IS 8 A1 Ingrid Anne Lie A1 Sezgi Kaçar A1 Kristin Wesnes A1 Iman Brouwer A1 Silje S Kvistad A1 Stig Wergeland A1 Trygve Holmøy A1 Rune Midgard A1 Alla Bru A1 Astrid Edland A1 Randi Eikeland A1 Sonia Gosal A1 Hanne F Harbo A1 Grethe Kleveland A1 Yvonne S Sørenes A1 Nina Øksendal A1 Kristin N Varhaug A1 Christian A Vedeler A1 Frederik Barkhof A1 Charlotte E Teunissen A1 Lars Bø A1 Øivind Torkildsen A1 Kjell-Morten Myhr A1 Hugo Vrenken YR 2022 UL http://jnnp.bmj.com/content/93/8/849.abstract AB Background The predictive value of serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) on long-term prognosis in multiple sclerosis (MS) is still unclear.Objective Investigate the relation between sNfL levels over a 2-year period in patients with relapsing-remitting MS, and clinical disability and grey matter (GM) atrophy after 10 years.Methods 85 patients, originally enrolled in a multicentre, randomised trial of ω−3 fatty acids, participated in a 10-year follow-up visit. sNfL levels were measured by Simoa quarterly until month 12, and then at month 24. The appearance of new gadolinium-enhancing (Gd+) lesions was assessed monthly between baseline and month 9, and then at months 12 and 24. At the 10-year follow-up visit, brain atrophy measures were obtained using FreeSurfer.Results Higher mean sNfL levels during early periods of active inflammation (Gd+ lesions present or recently present) predicted lower total (β=−0.399, p=0.040) and deep (β=−0.556, p=0.010) GM volume, lower mean cortical thickness (β=−0.581, p=0.010) and higher T2 lesion count (β=0.498, p=0.018). Of the clinical outcomes, higher inflammatory sNfL levels were associated with higher disability measured by the dominant hand Nine-Hole Peg Test (β=0.593, p=0.004). Mean sNfL levels during periods of remission (no Gd+ lesions present or recently present) did not predict GM atrophy or disability progression.Conclusion Higher sNfL levels during periods of active inflammation predicted more GM atrophy and specific aspects of clinical disability 10 years later. The findings suggest that subsequent long-term GM atrophy is mainly due to neuroaxonal degradation within new lesions.Data are available upon reasonable request.