Estimates of the Bayesian risk associated with early clinical predictors observed within 1 year of disease onset
| Mean LRR | Mean log LRR | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EDSS, Expanded Disability Status Scale; LRR, local relative risk; 95% CI, 95% Bayesian credible interval for the local relative risk. | |||
| Age at onset (in decades) | 1.05 | 0.05 | 1.02 to 1.09 |
| Female sex | 0.39 | −1.07 | 0.17 to 0.78 |
| Sphincter onset | 2.98 | 0.93 | 1.10 to 6.10 |
| Pure motor onset | 2.11 | 0.62 | 0.90 to 4.20 |
| Motor–sensory onset | 2.40 | 0.81 | 1.15 to 4.41 |
| Sequel after onset | 1.76 | 0.52 | 1.04 to 2.88 |
| Functional systems involved at onset | 1.39 | 0.32 | 1.16 to 1.64 |
| Sphincter plus motor relapses | 2.10 | 0.71 | 1.56 to 2.89 |
| EDSS ⩾4 outside relapse | 2.28 | 0.44 | 0.40 to 6.50 |