Table 3

Estimated change in prevalence per 100 000 persons per degree latitude at 5-unit increments of latitude, estimated at 2018

All crudeCrude restricted to those with age-specific dataAge-standardised
0 0.28 (0.23 to 0.34)
5 0.40 (0.33 to 0.47) 0.59 (0.41 to 0.78) 0.58 (0.39 to 0.77)
10 0.56 (0.47 to 0.65) 0.79 (0.57 to 1.01) 0.76 (0.54 to 0.99)
15 0.79 (0.68 to 0.90) 1.04 (0.78 to 1.31) 1.01 (0.74 to 1.28)
20 1.11 (0.97 to 1.24) 1.38 (1.05 to 1.71) 1.34 (1.01 to 1.67)
25 1.55 (1.37 to 1.74) 1.83 (1.40 to 2.26) 1.77 (1.34 to 2.21)
30 2.18 (1.92 to 2.45) 2.43 (1.85 to 3.01) 2.35 (1.76 to 2.94)
35 3.07 (2.67 to 3.47) 3.22 (2.40 to 4.04) 3.11 (2.28 to 3.94)
40 4.31 (3.69 to 4.94) 4.26 (3.07 to 5.46) 4.12 (2.91 to 5.33)
45 6.06 (5.08 to 7.05) 5.65 (3.88 to 7.42) 5.45 (3.67 to 7.23)
50 8.52 (6.95 to 10.10) 7.49 (4.86 to 10.11) 7.22 (4.57 to 9.86)
55 13.00 (10.23 to 15.79) 10.51 (6.40 to 14.61) 10.09 (5.96 to 14.21)
60−1.93 (−5.76 to 1.90) 2.61 (0.20 to 5.02) 3.05 (0.53 to 5.57)
65 14.84 ( 19.91 to 9.76) 6.96 ( 11.42 to 2.49) 5.83 ( 10.37 to 1.29)
70 14.39 ( 16.71 to 12.07) 12.22 ( 17.07 to 7.38) 11.27 ( 16.32 to 6.22)
  • Slope (95% CI) represents change in prevalence per 100 000 persons per degree latitude at specified latitude. Results in boldface denote statistical significance (p<0.05). All analyses adjusted for prevalence year, use of systematic diagnostic criteria and inclusion of possible cases. Values at 0 latitude not calculated for crude and age-standardised analyses where age-specific data required, as there were no such prevalences at this latitude to allow estimation.