Table 4

Region-specific latitudinal gradients, in original and current study

Age-standardised prevalence estimatesMidpoint latitude*Original data set, slope in 2009 (95% CI)Current analysis, slope in 2009 (95% CI)Current analysis, slope in 2018 (95% CI)
Australasia2835.67 8.38 (5.77 to 10.98 ) 7.97 (4.97 to 10.98 ) 11.05 (5.96 to 16.15 )
Western Europe15547.88 8.11 (3.85 to 12.35 ) 2.75 (1.04 to 4.46 ) 3.77 (1.28 to 6.25 )
 UK/Ireland2353.43 19.81 (7.11 to 32.51 ) 16.86 (5.93 to 27.78 ) 19.60 (6.80 to 32.40 )
 Scandinavia/North Atlantic4262.75 −4.29 (−7.59 to −0.99 ) −1.39 (−4.01 to 1.23)−1.41 (−4.17 to 1.34)
 Atlantic Coast/Central Europe4743.93 2.82 (0.42 to 5.21 ) 13.12 (7.40 to 18.83 ) 17.59 (8.51 to 26.67 )
 Italian region4341.56 −11.59 (−20.17 to −3.02 ) −10.33 (−17.48 to −3.17 ) −15.58 (−26.90 to −4.26 )
Eastern Europe5751.44−0.76 (−4.67 to 3.15)−0.20 (−5.06 to 4.66)−0.27 (−6.86 to 6.33)
North America3243.84 15.35 (6.37 to 24.32 ) 13.98 (7.67 to 20.30 ) 17.80 (8.60 to 26.99 )
Latin America and Caribbean516.250.06 (−1.56 to 1.68)0.12 (−0.46 to 0.70)0.03 (−0.26 to 0.31)
Middle East and Africa1932.121.62 (−4.26 to 7.50)0.93 (−2.40 to 4.25)0.86 (−2.07 to 3.79)
Asia and Pacific833.550.90 (−3.24 to 5.03) 0.37 (0.34 to 0.40 ) 0.08 (0.06 to 0.09 )
  • Slope (95% CI) represents change in prevalence per 100 000 persons per degree latitude at specified latitude. Results in boldface denote statistical significance (p<0.05). All analyses adjusted for prevalence year, use of systematic diagnostic criteria and inclusion of possible cases. Study prevalence estimates time-corrected to 2009.

  • *Midpoint latitude estimated as the mean of the maximum and minimum latitude of the prevalence points within the specified region.