Table 4

Longitudinal analysis

Baseline marker prediction
Dementia conversion (n=19)Decline in GlobalDecline in PS
β (SE)P valueHR
(95% CI)
AUCβ (SE)P valueAdj. Rβ (SE)P valueAdj. R
Serum NfL (pg/mL)
(log 10)
0.516
(0.178)
0.004 1.676
(1.183 to 2.373)
0.775−0.335 (0.094) 0.001 0.353−0.277 (0.114) 0.017 0.050
MDPH
(mm2/s)
−0.848
(0.265)
0.001 0.428
(0.255 to 0.719)
0.7910.148 (0.106)0.1690.2650.139 (0.123)0.262−0.006
PSMD
(mm2/s)
0.507
(0.155)
0.001 1.661
(1.225 to 2.252)
0.758−0.215 (0.098) 0.032 0.290−0.143 (0.116)0.224−0.003
Serum NfL (pg /mL) (log10) indep. MDPH
(mm2/s)
0.369
(0.179)
0.040 1.446
(1.017 to 2.055)
0.804
Serum NfL (pg /mL)
(log10) indep.
PSMD (mm2/s)
−0.303
(0.095)
0.002 0.365
  • DTI and NfL baseline markers predicting cognitive decline and dementia conversion.

  • Values show standardised regression coefficients: β and SEs for predictor variables in regression models of dementia conversion and decline in cognition. Significant at p value <0.05.

  • Adj R2, adjusted explained variance; AUC, area under the curve; DTI, diffusion tensor imaging; Global, global cognition; MDPH, mean diffusivity normalised peak height; NfL, neurofilament light chain; PS, processing speed; PSMD, peak width of skeletonised mean diffusivity.